Two things to watch. The merits case at the Conseil d'Etat is expected autumn 2026 - it could go either way; losing the emergency-suspension bid in July isn't a good sign but doesn't predict the merits outcome.

Separately, the European Commission's legal deadline to act on the ECHA Category 1B classification falls in August 2026. That deadline being reached doesn't mean an immediate change: any classification would be added to the CLP Regulation via an amendment that goes through member state consultation first, and industry bodies are actively challenging the classification and seeking a downgrade to Category 2. On current process timelines, nothing arising from this could take effect before mid-2027 at the earliest.